Sternik G.M., Apal'kov A.A. Quantitative evaluation of factors that affect housing and mortgage affordability

Abstract: This article explores factors that affect the volume of mortgage loans and gives assessment of their impact on the industry. The authors show how the method introduced for housing affordability for the population allows to get a quantitative figure for the factors impacting affordability for direct purchase (no mortgage), as well as loans. Positive changes in projecting and planning for the development of the residential property pool, as well as efficient government support of this pool's reproduction is largely supported by the availability of up to date and accurate information about households, apartments, and detached homes, population density per housing unit, which shows how heavily they are used. This sort of information is available due to the evaluation of household and housing unit conditions, per type, depending on the size (number of family members) and room (availability of living space per housing unit). The authors unveil tendencies that characterize the conditions of homestead and apartment usage, as well as the potential of the matrix-based toolset to analyze population levels. The authors offer their solutions to enhance the quality levels of state control for residential pool development and its rational use, as well as budget fund usage. The authors conduct a calculation experiment for property value appraisal, population income levels and mortgage rates per solvent population segment that can afford housing and mortgage.

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