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International relations
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Semchenkov, A.S. The modern scenarios for the political destabilization of Russia

Abstract: The article includes analysis of the key options for the political destabilization of Russia at the current stage, that is the ‘colored”, “Libyan” and “Syrian” scenarios. Based upon the scenario analysis the author provides for the possible key actions of the united non-systemic opposition and extremist forces, as well as international states, which are aimed towards the political destabilization of the Russian Federation, ranging from the formation of the network-subject threatening political stability to the armed intervention to the territory of the unstable state. The author provides detailed analysis of problems in the sphere of national security of the Russian Federation, regarding the leeway of the political state government in the sphere of implementation of measures on prevention and neutralization of threats to the political stability of the Russian Federation in the moral, information-related, economic, migration-related, military and other spheres, coming from its opponents and enemies. Taking into account the modern tendencies in the sphere of international relations and the domestic tendencies, the author offers a complex of interrelated measures and acts on prevention and neutralization of threats to the political stability of the Russian Federation.


Keywords:

scenario, political destabilization, threat, conflict within the state, irregular formation, Islamism, power, elite, migrant, terrorism.


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