Abstract: The object of the study is pension systems of foreign countries. The subject of the study is the strategic management of pension system development. The paper considers the main characteristics and provisions of the long-term plans of foreign governments for managing the development of national pension systems, interconnected with the long-term goals of the development of the state and containing a set of reasonable tasks, tools, methods and financial resources to achieve this goal. The author has conducted a comparative analysis of strategic planning documents for the prerequisites for their adoption and the planning period, the formulation of indicators of implementation and the main directions of development, the details of development activities and the complexity of the planned changes. The factors influencing and influencing the management of foreign pension systems in the long term are noted. The study examines the question of how much more changes in pension systems are caused by socio-economic shocks and impulses than by government plans. The work uses coefficient, factorial, comparative, vertical and horizontal analysis of pension provision indicators and the implementation of strategic planning documents in foreign countries, and highlights the main components of long-term plans. Conclusions are drawn about the partial preservation of situational management of the development of pension systems and the presence of difficulties in strategic management, complemented by the correlation of waves of increasing and decreasing the number of pension reforms with business cycles. The deterioration of the demographic burden is presented as the main prerequisite for reforms, and the inclusion in the tasks of plans in all countries to introduce or improve the funded component of pension provision and the development of a multicomponent pension system determines the construction of a multi-level and diversified pension system as the main general trend of strategic management. The development planning horizon is from 5 to 14 years. Among the main indicators of their implementation are the replacement rate, the real growth in the size of pensions, indicators of poverty and inequality. In turn, indicators of the balance of the pension system and the absence of an increase in the retirement age are provided only in Moldova and Ireland, respectively.

Abstract: The object of the study is the anti-inflationary policy in the Russian Federation. The subject of the study is the parameters of modern anti-inflationary policy. The paper highlights the factors influencing the inflation deviation from the target and the parameters of anti-inflationary policy in Russia. Particular attention is paid to the contribution of fiscal momentum, the labor market situation, autonomous demand, administrative factors, exchange rate shifts, the effectiveness of the transmission mechanism, and coordination of monetary policy with fiscal policy. In the course of the research, the decomposition and dynamics of inflation in Russia and abroad are analyzed. The article evaluates the consequences of lowering the key rate in the current conditions, the possibility of increasing the output potential to a level corresponding to the current high aggregate demand, and the expediency of further pursuing a tight monetary policy. The research uses the following methods: graphical, comparative and coefficient analysis, vertical and horizontal, factor analysis of indicators that determine the problems of anti-inflationary policy. The information base of the study is represented by materials from the Bank of Russia and data from the Federal State Statistics Service. We identified pro- and de-inflationary factors and concluded that the positive output gap, stimulated by fiscal policy, record low unemployment, restrictions on increasing labor productivity and affordable labor, is the driver of high inflation in Russia at the present stage. The transfer of the effect of a number of tax changes to inflation will primarily depend on the further growth rates of government spending, their structure and degree of productivity. Lowering the key rate in the current conditions will worsen inflationary processes and will not allow timely increase in the potential of the Russian economy, which makes it possible to justify the need to continue to pursue a tight monetary policy. Fiscal policy has proved to be insensitive to the current monetary policy and acts significantly opposite to inflation targeting, including due to the preservation of a safe level of public debt and the low cost of servicing it. The growth of aggregate demand and the Russian economy slowed down in the last quarter of 2024, and the achievement of the target by 2026 will be facilitated by the results of recent investments in fixed assets, the absence of external shocks and the implementation of stricter fiscal policy regarding government spending.

Abstract: The object of the study is the pension system of the Russian Federation, the subject is the implementation of the Strategy for the Long–term Development of the Pension System of the Russian Federation until 2030 ("Strategies"). The purpose of the study is to propose fiscal measures to ensure the achievement of the goals and objectives of the Strategy. The article considers the achievement of targets for the replacement rate and the size of the insurance pension, assesses the degree of development of the three-tier pension system, its balance and financial stability, the amount of budget revenues of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation from the taxation of pensions for non-state pension provision. Special attention is paid to the dynamics of the parameters of insurance premiums, the indicators of the budget of the Social Fund of Russia and its shortfall in income due to the effect of preferences for the payment of insurance premiums. The paper identifies the factors influencing the possibility of fully implementing the objectives of the Strategy and achieving its top-level goals by 2030. The work uses coefficient, graphical, factorial, comparative, vertical and horizontal analysis of pension provision indicators and budgets of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation, which determine the problems of Strategy implementation and ways to solve them. It is concluded that the target value of the replacement coefficient and the amount of the insurance pension are currently not being reached, both at retirement and at the beginning of the formation of pension rights in 2024, and the provisions of the Strategy regarding preferences for insurance premiums are not fully respected. The expenses of the SFR budget for the payment of insurance pensions are not fully covered by insurance premiums for compulsory pension insurance, however, a faster increase in the marginal base for insurance premiums and average wages than the fixed payment amount and the cost of the individual pension coefficient, as well as medium-term demographic trends and continued increase in the retirement age, will contribute to ensuring financial stability and balance the Russian pension system. The parameters affecting the level of pension provision in the distributive part of the OPS have been determined. The author proposes fiscal measures aimed at achieving the objectives of the Strategy, and evaluates their effects on revenues and expenditures of the budgets of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation.

Abstract: The object of the study is the pension system of the Russian Federation, the subject is the long-term strategic planning for the development of the national pension system. The purpose of the research is to develop proposals for improving the strategic planning of the development of the pension system of the Russian Federation. Special attention is paid to the structure and key provisions of the Strategy for the Long-term Development of the Pension System of the Russian Federation until 2030 (the "Strategy"), the possibility of assessing its implementation, the comparability of the parameters of the functioning of the Russian pension system and data from the long-term budget forecast and forecasts of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, the interconnection of the goals and objectives of the Strategy and national development goals of the Russian Federation, which makes it possible to develop and implement a comprehensive and coordinated state policy in the field of pension provision for the population. The author considers the expediency of maintaining the current high-level goals of the Strategy in the context of modern socio-economic parameters and trends in the functioning of the Russian economy. The author proceeds to systematization and comparison of the provisions of normative legal acts that are strategic planning documents, modeling of the volume of pension rights, coefficient, graphical, comparative, vertical and horizontal analysis of pension provision indicators. In the course of the study, it was found that the strategy is being implemented in conditions of imperfection of strategic planning documents in terms of pension provision, characterized by low reliability of forecasts, outdated terminology and weak alignment of medium- and long-term planning documents in terms of goal setting, forecasting and programming, weak alignment with the national development goals of the Russian Federation until 2030 and for the future until 2036 the year, the lack of program-oriented cost management in the compulsory pension insurance system. The strategy does not contain unambiguously interpreted indicators of its implementation, does not take into account a significant change in the macroeconomic situation, the transition to a point pension formula, does not contain an assessment of the risks of its implementation, and indicators of the implementation of many of its tasks are not disclosed in other types of strategic documents. We have proposed a number of principles for developing a long-term plan for the development of the pension system, including risk assessment, internal stabilizers and a phased breakdown of the values of indicators of its implementation, as well as defined guidelines for its long-term development, including limiting the growth of the share of the budget mechanism in the national pension system.