Published in journal "Taxes and Taxation", 2015-7 in rubric "PREDICTION AND PLANNING IN TAXATION", pages 493-500.
Resume: The subject under research is the social and economic development of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea from the point of view of the taxable capacity of the region and prognosis of tax revenues. The emphasis is made on studying macroeconomic indicators as well as the sectoral structure of the development the given territory when it was part of the Ukraine and after it joined Russia. In addition, the author analyzes the situation with profitable and unprofitable enterprises in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea versus Russia's data. In order to provide a comprehensible analysis, the author of the article also studies data on tax revenues from the Autonomous Republic of Crimea in 2014 as well as expected tax revenues in 2015. The methodology of the research involves comparative analysis and logical interpretation of the results that were later formulated in the form of general conclusions. The main provisions that reflect the results of the analysis are the following: The author has described the main peculiarities of the development of Gross Regional Product in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea when it was part of the Ukraine whih allows to predict the development of the region for the next years. When comparing macroeconomic development indicators of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the Russian Federation, the author concludes that the economy of the AR Crimea is behind according to a number of indicators. The structure of the industrial production by type of activity has particular peculiarities in the Republic of Crimea which needs to be taken into account when evaluating the taxable capacity and prospective tax regulation methods. The author also proves that the taxable capacity of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea for 2015 and the following years has all opportunities to grow providing that special conditions for the development of the given territory will be made and tax administration will be arranged at the highest level.
Keywords: taxable capacity, gross regional product, macroeconomic indicators, production of industrial products, balanced financial result, unprofitable enterprise, public sector revenues, tax payments, corporation income, tourism
Ofitsial'nyy sayt Federal'noy sluzhby gosudarstvennoy statistiki RF– www.gks.ru
Ofitsial'nyy sayt Gosudarstvennogo komiteta statistiki Ukrainy-http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/
Ofitsial'nyy sayt territorial'nogo organa Federal'noy sluzhby gosudarstvennoy statistiki po Respublike Krym (Krymstat)-http://gosstat.crimea.ru/
Razvitie byudzhetno-nalogovykh otnosheniy v Krymu : monografiya /N.I.Malis [i dr.] –Moskva, 2015.
Yu. B. Mindlin, Yu. N. Shed'ko Strategii innovatsionnogo razvitiya
ekonomiki regiona // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 5. - C. 77 - 87.
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