Reference:
Korostelkina I.A., Voronkova N.V..
Real estate market in the time of pandemic: current trends and projections
// Trends and management. – 2021. – ¹ 1.
– P. 51-62.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2021.1.33906.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2021.1.33906
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Abstract: The object of this research is the real estate market, while the subject of is the socioeconomic relations between all actors of the real estate market established in the context of implementation of restrictive measures due to COVID-19 pandemic. The authors examine the key theoretical aspects of the real estate market, analyze the dynamics in the housing (including premium segment), commercial, office and other property; make projections and align expert opinions on long-term development associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Emphasis is placed on the impact of changes in mortgage lending with a lower interest rate under the State Support 2020 program development for the development of new-build property market. The following conclusions were made: paradoxicalness of the development of real estate market during the COVID-19 pandemic, in which the obvious negative factors did not lead to a drop in property prices; ambiguity of forecasts for the development of real estate market after the coronavirus pandemic, considering its consequences; situation on the real estate market of China, Hong Kong, and the United States during the coronavirus pandemic indicate similar development scenarios, while the premium segment prices differ significantly. The authors’ special contribution consists in aligning various expert opinions and assessments on the particular elements of real estate market (reinforced by the statistical data of different countries), and formulating a general conclusion on the state of this economic segment under the current conditions of pandemic.
Keywords: infrastructure, economy, crisis, coronavirus, pandemic, estate market, mechanism, price, housing market, forecast
References:
Petegirich O. Neprostye polgoda: kak pandemiya povliyala na mirovoy rynok elitnoy nedvizhimosti // RestProperty. – 2020/-fduecn [Elektronnyy resurs]. – Rezhim dostupa: https://prian.ru/pub/neprostye-polgoda-kak-pandemiya-povliyala-na-mirovoy-rynok-elitnoy-nedvizhimosti.html
Arakelyan E. Kak rukhnut tseny na zhil'e v Rossii: drama-prognoz v trekh deystviyakh // Komsomol'skaya pravda. – 2020.-may [Elektronnyy resurs]. – Rezhim dostupa: https://www.orel.kp.ru/daily/27131.5/4218862/
Stroitel'naya otrasl' v period pandemii: obzor delovogo klimata ot ekspertov VShE [Elektronnyy resurs] – Rezhim dostupa: https://erzrf.ru/publikacii/stroitelnaya-otrasl-v-period-pandemii-obzor-delovogo-klimata-ot-ekspertov-vshe
Kommercheskaya nedvizhimost': 2020 perezagruzka // Konferentsiya ID «Kommersant'» [Elektronnyy resurs] – Rezhim dostupa: https://www.kommersant.ru/conference/528
Ekonomika nedvizhimosti: udarit li pandemiya po rynku zhil'ya?// dp.ru.-2020.-iyun' [Elektronnyy resurs]. – Rezhim dostupa: https://www.dp.ru/a/2020/06/01/JEkonomika_n
Reference:
Khusyainov T.M..
Unemployment problem among the residents of Greenland: statistical analysis
// Trends and management. – 2019. – ¹ 2.
– P. 91-97.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2019.2.21623.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2019.2.21623
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Abstract: The object of this research is the regional job market of the Island of Greenland. The author analyzes the employment situation of Greenland as of 2010-2014, focusing on the problem of unemployment on the regional job market, its rate, structure and characteristics. Particular attention is given to the occurrence of seasonal unemployment in the job market overall, as well as separate economic sectors. The author also considers the territorial aspect and its impact on the unemployment rate. The main research method is the statistical data analysis of the StatBank Greenland, review of Danish legislation and regional regulatory acts of Greenland. Having analyzes the regional job market of the Island of Greenland alongside the unemployment problem among its residents, the author concludes on the significant dependence of employment rate on the season, including its major economic branch – the fishing industry. Another important feature is the strong differentiation in employment rate between the cities according to their size and location.
Keywords: statistical analysis, unemployment, job market, employment, Greenland, Greenlanders, unemployment rate, social problems, regional job market, workers
References:
Fiskeindustrien er et af de vigtigste erhverv i Grønland // Europas-lande.dk. URL: http://europas-lande.dk/dan/Lande/Gr%C3%B8nland/Erhverv%20og%20%C3%B8konomi/Arbejde/mellem/
Inatsisartutlov nr. 5 af 8. juni 2014 om arbejdsformidling m.v. URL: http://lovgivning.gl/lov?rid=
Khusyainov T.M. Obzor regional'nogo rynka truda Grenlandii: osnovnye otrasli khozyaystva i chislennost' zanyatykh rabotnikov // Teoreticheskaya i prikladnaya ekonomika (V pechati)
Arbatskiy D.V. Problema zanyatosti i bezrabotitsy // Izvestiya PGU im. V.G. Belinskogo. 2010. ¹ 20. C. 43-45. URL: http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/problema-zanyatosti-i-bezrabotitsy
Goldbach I., Winther-Jensen T. Greenland: Society and Education // Comparative Education. 1988. Vol. 24. ¹ 2. Special Number (11): Education and MinorityGroups. pp. 257-266. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3099080
Metodika rascheta pokazatelya "Obshchaya chislennost' bezrabotnykh, v protsentakh k ekonomicheski aktivnomu naseleniyu". URL: www.gks.ru/metod/met-pril/met-pr4.doc
Cheremisina
Reference:
Danilenko D.V..
Is the era of public urban transport over?
// Trends and management. – 2018. – ¹ 3.
– P. 93-109.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2018.3.27051.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2018.3.27051
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Abstract: The article tackles new technologies impact on urban transportation and gives some projections on how the future of urban passenger transit and urban goods transportation would look like. The research is centered mainly on the impact of those technologies on modal choice and explains how the impact of new theologies will contribute to the obsolescence of the public urban transport. Several factors are taken into account to support this idea. Projections on decrease in urban transport are based on major challenges of labor market (automation and teleworking), as well as ecommerce development, which will cut the demand for public transport ridership by half. Those trends will also substantially reduce the car ownership, and thus contribute to traffic decongestion. At the same time, shared-ridership platforms (Uber, etc.) have significantly decreased the cost of transit by private means of transport, equal to some fares of public transport, whereas driverless and electric cars will further decrease the cost of transit by private means of transport up to making public transport unnecessary.
Keywords: cargo transportation, modal choice, new technologies, car, public transport, urban transit, urban transport, urban traffic, individual vehicle, communication technologies
References:
Aber J. (2016), Electric Bus Analysis for New York City Transit. Columbia University.
American Public Transportation Association (2016) Shared Mobility and the Transformation of Public Transit. Transit Cooperative Research Program (TCRP) Project J-11
American Public Transportation Association (2017), Who Rides Public Transportation.
Anable J. (2005). ‘Complacent auto addicts’ or ‘aspiring conservationists? Identifying travel behaviour sections utilizing attitude theory’ . Conveyance Policy. vol. 12 ( 1 ) . pp. 65–78.
Barclay’s report (2014), The Last Mile. Exploring the online purchasing and delivery journey
Beirao G., Sarsfield Cabral J.A. (2007), Understanding attitudes towards public transport and private car: A qualitative study. Transport Policy 14, pp. 478–489
Bosch, P.M. et al. (2017) Cost-based analysis of autonomous mobility services. Transport Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2017.09.005 7. Bureau of Transportation Statistics (US Department of Transportation) (2003) Hig
Reference:
Bogatyrev S., Antonov D.S..
Disturbing trends as precursor of a new crisis
// Trends and management. – 2017. – ¹ 4.
– P. 70-80.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2017.4.20103.
DOI: 10.7256/2454-0730.2017.4.20103
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Abstract: The subject of this research is the current trends in development of the new crisis phenomena in the economy. The object is the indices of corporate finance of international companies; indices that characterize the debt burden; stock market indices and multipliers. Based on the conducted analysis, the authors explore the current prerequisite of a new crisis that according to their estimate will take place in 2016-2017 instigated by the American stock market crash. The main conclusion of the article lies in the assumption that the economy stands on the threshold of a new crisis. The author’s main contribution into the development of the extensively covered question of crisis forecasting consists in the statement that in terms of application of the available economic and financial indices were selected the most efficient for formulating the conclusions. The scientific novelty lies in formation of analytic complex that allows deeper understanding of the examined phenomena, as well as acquire irrefutable factual basis for the conclusions.
Keywords: investments, stock index, stock market, trends, corporate finance, economic coefficients, economic crisis, financial assets, currency issue, economic indicators
References:
Vneshnyaya torgovlya SSSR za 20 let. 1918-1937 gg. Statisticheskiy sbornik.-M.: Mezhdunarodnaya kniga, 1939, s. 13, 35.
Encyclopædia Britannica [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: http://eml.berkeley.edu//~cromer/great_depression.pdf (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016).
Morrison Alan D. Systemic risks and the “too-big-to-fail” problem // Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 27, Number 3, 2011, pp. 498–516
NYMAG [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/12/big-short-genius-says-another-crisis-is-coming.html# (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016).
Bird Mike Corporate America has quietly DOUBLED its debt levels since 2008 // Uk.businessinsider.com [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: http://uk.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-says-us-corporate-debt-levels-have-doubled-since-2008-2015-11 (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
By Yong Tang China, US should adjust approach to economic growth // En.people.cn [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: http://en.people.cn/200512/26/eng20051226_230852.html (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.
Reference:
Brazhnikov P.P..
The systemic approach to strategic management and consulting; the quantitative model of SWOT analysis
// Trends and management. – 2016. – ¹ 3.
– P. 217-221.
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Abstract:
This article describes an example of a systemic approach towards the analysis of social systems and the organizations or their components. The model of analysis is based on the consideration of system through relative properties of its elements. Since these properties are manifested only in the interaction, the state of the system can be described as a set of resource exchange processes and their parameters. Each component of the system is characterized in terms of its function. All participating members are described as external resources that support processes of an organization. The methods of research of system elements or its processes and resource sources involved are shown based on the SWOT analysis. The author describes the most effective strategies for all four types of processes (strengths, weaknesses, threats, and opportunities). The assignment of processes to a particular type is based on the relative features of interacting entities. It is stated that all subjects, with which a system or an organization interacts, are sources of useful resources. If there is a source of destructive influence on the organization processes, the system searches for external resources, extenuating this influence without connection thereto. It is implied that any exchange of energy takes place on the basis of mutual compensation. It is also shown that for a system any interaction is adaptation to a larger system, or a change of smaller systems for its own benefit. Hence, the result for the system will either be an accumulation of energy or investments. Finally, the author describes the algorithm for evaluation of any sources of resources for their assignment to one of the categories on the SWOT matrix. The rating is based on the relative value of the resource source and the relative probability of its emergence. The main instruments of the different strategies are accumulation, investments and an increase in turnover. Additionally, the possibility of using this instrument for assessment under the model of Porter’s five forces is represented.
Keywords: social capital, symbolic capital, cenotypes of Ramensky, competition of Yudanov, systemic approach, marketing mix, SWOT analysis, strategic management, systems theory
References:
Internet sait Tsentral'nogo banka Rossiiskoi Federatsii. URL: http://cbr.ru
Kheifets B.A. Global'nyi dolgovoi krizis i riski dolgovoi politiki. M.: Institut Ekonomiki RAN, 2012. S. 41.
Rossiiskaya ekonomika v 2014 godu. Tendentsii i perspektivy.(Vyp. 36). M.: Institut Gaidara, 2015. 576 s.
Matovnikov M.Yu. Problema rossiiskogo vneshnego korporativnogo dolga namnogo slozhnee, chem kazhetsya // Den'gi i kredit. 2013. ¹ 9. S. 43.
Peresmotrennye Rukovodyashchie printsipy upravleniya gosudarstvennym dolgom. Podgotovleno personalom Mezhdunarodnogo Valyutnogo Fonda i Vsemirnogo banka. 2014.
Vasil'ev I.V., Karpov V.A. Deofshorizatsiya – strategiya ekonomicheskoi repatriatsii investitsionnykh potokov v Rossiiskuyu Federatsiyu // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. 2013. ¹ 4. C. 629-635. DOI: 10.7256/2073-8560.2013.4.8992.
Krasavina L.N. Obnovlenie nauchnoi shkoly mezhdunarodnykh valyutnykh, kreditnykh, finansovykh otnoshenii v kontekste global'nykh vyzovov // Den'gi i kredit. 2014. ¹ 7. S
Reference:
Pivanova, A.V..
Comparative characteristics of legal regulation of
oil and gas extraction
in the continental shelf of the Federal Republic of
Brazil and in the Russian Federation.
// Trends and management. – 2013. – ¹ 3.
– P. 91-96.
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Abstract: This article is devoted to the comparative analysis
of legal regulation of oil and gas extraction in the continental
shelf in the Federal Republic of Brazil and in Russia, as well
as to the new legislation of Brazil, strengthening the role of
the state in this sphere, and guaranteeing national security
and protection of state sovereignty.
Keywords: jurisprudence, continental shelf, Brazil, use of subsurface resources, oil, concession agreement, product sharing agreement, offshore.
References:
Normativnye pravovye dokumenty:
1. Konstitutsiya Federativnoi Respubliki Brazilii. Prinyata 5 oktyabrya 1988 goda
2. Zakon Federativnoi Respubliki Brazilii ot 06 avgusta 1997 goda ¹ 9478 «O regulirovanii neftyanoi i gazovoi otrasli»
3. Zakon Federativnoi Respubliki Brazilii ot 22 dekabrya 2010 goda ¹12351
4. Zakon Federativnoi Respubliki Brazilii ot 02 avgusta 2010 goda ¹12304
5. Zakon Federativnoi Respubliki Brazilii ot 30 iyunya 2010 goda ¹12276
Nauchnaya literatura:
1. Delovaya Braziliya. Otv. redaktor S.V. Loginov. M., Brazil'sko-Rossiiskaya torgovaya palata, 2004, s.37.
2. Neft' i gaz za rubezhom pod redaktsiei G.N. Vachnadze, A.I. Gribkova. M., Agentstvo Biznes Press, 2005, s.11.
3. Sosna C.A. Pravovoe regulirovanie inostrannykh investitsii v Rossii// M.: Institut gosudarstva i prava,, 2005 s. 210 s.
Literatura na inostrannykh yazykakh:
1. Almeida E.L.F., Silva C.S. Targets and challenges of the regulatory reform in Brazilian oil sector, 2010, p. 43.
2. Ma
Reference:
Stiblar, F.F..
Balkans – growth, stability,
the impact of financial crisis and
integration to the world
// Trends and management. – 2013. – ¹ 2.
– P. 241-255.
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Abstract: Balkan peninsula is treated as a special
case: as powder keg of Europe and the term “balkanization”
has negative connotation. Events of
last twenty years did not disappoint such terminology,
both within Balkan and outside. There
was collapse of socialist economies, disintegration
of socialist Yugoslavia with not optimal
political solutions. External conditions such as
an ailing EU, political turmoil in Near East had
negative influences on Balkans. The aim of this
article is to investigate what has happened with
Balkan economies in the last twenty years. In particular,
the author focuses on the consideration of
the long term trends in economic growth and its
stability (is catching-up to developed Europe taking
place?); on the impact of global financial crisis
on Balkans (was Balkans with less developed
financial structure insulated from negative consequences
of global financial crisis?); and on the
success in integration of Balkan economies to the
globalizing world (is Balkans still “an isolated island”
in the world of progress?). Basic criteria for
a selection of analyzed countries is geographical
position of country in Balkans. Thus, 11 Balkan
countries are analyzed (Cyprus is not included).
The quality of macroeconomic performance and
long term development strategy used is measured
by dynamic of GDP growth, the stability of growth
in period 1991-2010 and resistance to the effects
of global financial crisis. The first part includes
two indicators of welfare: growth and stability, the
second includes the effects of creation of bubble
in period 2005-2008 and its bursting in after that.
Keywords: financial bubble, integration, economy, analysis, macroeconomic, balkanization, Balkan, dynamics, Eurozone, global financial crisis
References:
Stiblar F.: The Balkan Conflict and Its Solutions, Manet, School of Law, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, 2007
Stiblar F.: The Impact of Global Crisis on Montenegro and the Western Balkans, CBCG, Podgorica, 2009
Lin J.Y.: demystifying Chinese Economy, Princeton press, 2011
Balkan Monitor, Belgrade, Several issues
The EU Enlargement Progress Report, Brussels, November 2011
The EBRD Transition Report 2011, London November 2011
The IMF World Economic Outlook 2011 and Supplement 2012; Washington DC, October 2011 and January 2012
The LINK World Economic Assessment, UN and University of Toronto, Fall 2011
The World Bank data set, 2011
Sinitsina, M. L. Anti-Crisis Measures in the EU: Analysis of Modern Financial Reforms // .-2012.-8.-C. 64-80.
Sarkisov, A. K. Russian State Corporation ‘Bank for Development and Foreign Economic Affairs’ and its Role in Regulation of Consequences of the World Financial Crisis // .-2010.-4.-C. 80-86.
Galieva, G.F. Macro-economic prerequisit