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Assessment methodology for conflictogenity of sociopolitical situation
Zelenkov Mikhail

Head of the department, Professor, Moscow State Academy of Water Transport

117648, Russia, g. Moscow, ul. Novodanilovskaya, 21

mz60@mail.ru
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Abstract.

The object of this research is the sociopolitical situation. The subject is the methodological aspects of assessing its conflictogenity. Based on the results of studying the structure and relations between the elements of sociopolitical situation, the author sets a goal to determine and substantiate the criteria allowing analyzing the existing social contradictions and assessing their conflictogenity. The theoretical foundation contains the works of assessment methodology for military-political and sociopolitical situation. Special role is assigned to substantiation of the tools for analyzing conflictogenity of sociopolitical situation in society, region and worldwide, as well as determination of the criteria for their characteristic. The article applies the set of methods of systemic analysis – system-component, system-structural, system-functional, and system-evolutionary for logical and neat structuring of the algorithm of assessing conflictogenity of sociopolitical situation. Gnoseological potential of general scientific methods (synthesis and comparison) allows classifying the types of sociopolitical situation and adequately structuring the sequence of assessment of its conflictogenity. The scientific novelty consists in theoretical and practical substantiation of the choice of research methods at each stage of the assessment of conflictogenity of sociopolitical situation. The acquired results lead to a conclusion that each sociopolitical situation is characterized with a number factors, which may escalate tension in relationship between actors of sociopolitical process and generate a conflict.

Keywords: methods of cognition, forecasting, system analysis, socio-political relations, conflict, actor, socio-political situation, society, the stages of analysis, the conflict potential of the situation

DOI:

10.7256/2454-0684.2019.2.28669

Article was received:

21-01-2019


Review date:

16-01-2019


Publish date:

23-03-2019


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

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