Shultz, V.L., Kulba, V.V., Shelkov, A.B., Chernov, I.V. The methods of scenario analysis of threats to the efficient functioning of organization administration systems

Abstract: The article is devoted to the complex of methodological and applied problems regarding improving efficiency of the organization management. The authors view the methodological approach towards diagnostics and evaluation of the key threats to processes of achievement of the management goals. The authors provide the results of analysis of inner and outer threats to the sustainable development of social and economic systems, their segments and specific economic subjects. The authors evaluate the efficiency of scenario approach for the improvement of management efficiency, which allows to evaluate quality and congruence of varied strategic and tactical management decisions of various temporal and territorial position, and which are aimed for the achievement of the pre-set goals and lowering the level of vulnerability of the management system to the threats of various nature.

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